Positioning

Three month SOFR

Small speculators
-788
Large speculators
-2,508,582
Commercials
2,509,370
Open interest
12,657,372

Week ending 2026-10-06. Speculators are net short, and commercials are on the other side.Large speculators, week on week:34,095 contracts

-3,000,000-2,000,000-1,000,00001,000,0002,000,0003,000,00009/18/1803/31/2009/28/2103/28/2309/24/2403/31/26
Small speculatorsLarge speculatorsCommercials
Three month SOFR, 2018-09-18 to 2026-10-06, shown quarterly, the last report of each quarter. Net contracts held, long minus short. Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders.

Reading this chart

Commercials are the companies with a reason to be in the market anyway: a miner selling forward, an airline buying fuel, a bank hedging a book of stock. Large speculators are the funds. Small speculators are everybody too small to have to report.

The three sum to zero every week, so when one group leans hard, some other group is holding the opposite side. A large speculator net short in stock index futures is often a hedge against shares held elsewhere, not a bet the market falls.

Others in this group

Each inside its own three year range, highest first.

Source: Commitments of Traders, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Figures are contracts held, not dollars.